Forecast Comment

Updated Feb 19, 2026

This year’s cherry blossom flowering is expected to be around average to slightly earlier than usual in western Japan, earlier than average in eastern Japan, and earlier than average in many parts of northern Japan.
Compared with the previous forecast, flowering dates have been revised earlier from the Kanto region westward, as the current warm conditions are now expected to persist through early March.

This winter, cold air masses arrived repeatedly, but they did not last long, and there were also periods of notably high temperatures. As a result, dormancy breaking is expected to have been somewhat weaker than average in many areas, with this tendency becoming more pronounced toward the west.
Temperatures have been warm in mid-February and are expected to remain high through early March, with March likely to be warmer farther east. Consequently, flowering is expected to be around average to slightly earlier than average in western Japan and earlier than average in many areas of eastern Japan.
In northern Japan, temperatures are forecast to remain higher than average through April, so earlier-than-usual flowering is expected; however, at present, it does not appear likely to be as markedly early as has been seen in many recent years.

First bloom / Full bloom Forecast

Kanto/Koshin

City	First bloom	Full bloom
Mito	3/24	4/2
Utsunomiya	3/24	4/1
Maebashi	3/26	4/1
Kumagaya	3/22	4/1
Tokyo	3/18	3/27
Choshi	3/29	4/4
Yokohama	3/22	4/1
Nagano	4/6	4/11
Kofu	3/23	3/31

Tokai/Hokuriku

City	First bloom	Full bloom
Shizuoka	3/26	4/5
Nagoya	3/23	4/2
Gifu	3/23	4/1
Tsu	3/29	4/3
Niigata	4/6	4/11
Toyama	4/2	4/6
Kanazawa	4/1	4/7
Fukui	3/30	4/4

Kinki

City	First bloom	Full bloom
Hikone	3/29	4/5
Kyoto	3/24	4/2
Osaka	3/26	4/3
Kobe	3/28	4/5
Nara	3/25	4/4
Wakayama	3/24	4/1

Chugoku/Shikoku

City	First bloom	Full bloom
Okayama	3/26	4/2
Hiroshima	3/22	4/1
Matsue	3/26	4/2
Tottori	3/26	4/1
Takamatsu	3/27	4/3
Tokushima	3/27	4/4
Matsuyama	3/21	4/2
Kochi	3/19	3/28
Shimonoseki	3/25	4/3

Kyushu

City	First bloom	Full bloom
Fukuoka	3/18	3/30
Oita	3/25	4/6
Nagasaki	3/25	4/4
Saga	3/22	3/31
Kumamoto	3/23	4/2
Miyazaki	3/24	4/4
Kagoshima	3/27	4/6

Amami/Okinawa

City	First bloom	Full bloom
Naze	2/1	---
Naha	1/18	2/3
Minamidaitojima	---	---
Miyakojima	1/9	2/6
Ishigakijima	2/4	2/18

Tohoku

City	First bloom	Full bloom
Aomori	4/17	4/21
Akita	4/12	4/17
Morioka	4/14	4/19
Sendai	4/4	4/9
Yamagata	4/8	4/13
Fukushima	4/2	4/6

Hokkaido

City	First bloom	Full bloom
Sapporo	4/25	4/30
Wakkanai	5/9	5/12
Asahikawa	4/29	5/2
Abashiri	5/5	5/9
Kushiro	5/8	5/11
Obihiro	4/29	5/2
Muroran	4/30	5/4
Hakodate	4/25	4/28

●The colored places indicate points which already have passed first or full bloom.
* Okinawa and Amami regions are areas where forecasts are not provided.
* Hokkaido (Wakkanai, Asahikawa, Abashiri, Obihiro, Kushiro) has a different species of cherry blossom trees - Ezoyamazakuara.

About WeatherMap Cherry Blossom Forecast

Cherry Blossom Forecast 2026 Schedule

1st	January 22nd
2nd	February 5th
3rd	February 12th
4th	February 19th
5th	February 26th

After March 2nd, we will update the first bloom and full bloom reports every day and provide forecasts every Monday and Thursday.

Blossom Criteria

First bloom: it means observation trees have 5 to 6 flowers that have bloomed.
Full bloom: it means 80% of the observation tree flowers have bloomed.

The forecast is based on the bloom timeline of the official observation tree.
We forecast the "Date of First Bloom" and "Date of Full Bloom" according to these meanings, which are the same with JMA's observation rules.
On average, tree fully blooms a week after first bloom.

Forecast Criteria

The forecast is based on the bloom timeline of the official observation trees that are located at the 58 Japan Meteorological Agency offices across the country.
We release the forecast for 53 points in Japan except for Amami and Okinawa regions where there are no official observation trees available.