This year’s cherry blossom flowering is expected to be around the average timing in western Japan, slightly earlier than average in eastern Japan, and earlier than average in many parts of northern Japan.
This winter, cold air masses arrived repeatedly, but they did not persist for long, and there were also periods of notably high temperatures. As a result, dormancy breaking is expected to have been somewhat weaker than average in many areas, with this tendency becoming more pronounced toward the west.
Although temperatures have been low in late January and early February, temperatures from then through March are forecast to be higher than average, with March expected to be warmer farther east. Consequently, flowering is likely to be around average in western Japan and slightly earlier than average in many areas of eastern Japan.
In northern Japan, temperatures are forecast to remain higher than average through April, so earlier-than-usual flowering is expected; however, at present, it does not appear likely to be as markedly early as has been seen in many recent years.
(Updated Feb 5, 2026)
Note: Detailed forecast is only available in Japanese.
| Kanto/Koshin | ||
| Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
| Mito | 3/25 | 4/2 |
| Utsunomiya | 3/24 | 3/31 |
| Maebashi | 3/26 | 4/1 |
| Kumagaya | 3/23 | 4/1 |
| Tokyo | 3/19 | 3/28 |
| Choshi | 3/28 | 4/4 |
| Yokohama | 3/22 | 4/1 |
| Nagano | 4/7 | 4/13 |
| Kofu | 3/22 | 3/29 |
| Tokai/Hokuriku | ||
| Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
| Shizuoka | 3/26 | 4/4 |
| Nagoya | 3/25 | 4/2 |
| Gifu | 3/25 | 4/2 |
| Tsu | 3/29 | 4/3 |
| Niigata | 4/6 | 4/11 |
| Toyama | 4/1 | 4/5 |
| Kanazawa | 4/1 | 4/7 |
| Fukui | 3/30 | 4/4 |
| Kinki | ||
| Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
| Hikone | 3/30 | 4/6 |
| Kyoto | 3/26 | 4/3 |
| Osaka | 3/26 | 4/3 |
| Kobe | 3/28 | 4/6 |
| Nara | 3/26 | 4/3 |
| Wakayama | 3/25 | 4/2 |
| Chugoku/Shikoku | ||
| Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
| Okayama | 3/27 | 4/3 |
| Hiroshima | 3/24 | 4/2 |
| Matsue | 3/27 | 4/2 |
| Tottori | 3/26 | 4/1 |
| Takamatsu | 3/27 | 4/3 |
| Tokushima | 3/26 | 4/3 |
| Matsuyama | 3/21 | 4/1 |
| Kochi | 3/21 | 3/29 |
| Shimonoseki | 3/26 | 4/4 |
| Kyushu | ||
| Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
| Fukuoka | 3/20 | 3/31 |
| Oita | 3/25 | 4/5 |
| Nagasaki | 3/25 | 4/4 |
| Saga | 3/25 | 4/3 |
| Kumamoto | 3/24 | 4/1 |
| Miyazaki | 3/24 | 4/4 |
| Kagoshima | 3/28 | 4/6 |
| Amami/Okinawa | ||
| Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
| Naze | 2/1 | --- |
| Naha | 1/18 | 2/3 |
| Minamidaitojima | --- | --- |
| Miyakojima | 1/9 | 2/6 |
| Ishigakijima | 2/4 | --- |
|
◇The colored places indicate points which already have passed first or full bloom.
◆Okinawa and Amami regions are areas where forecasts are not provided. |
||
| Tohoku | ||
| Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
| Aomori | 4/17 | 4/22 |
| Akita | 4/12 | 4/16 |
| Morioka | 4/14 | 4/19 |
| Sendai | 4/4 | 4/9 |
| Yamagata | 4/10 | 4/14 |
| Fukushima | 4/4 | 4/8 |
| ◆Hokkaido (Wakkanai, Asahikawa, Abashiri, Obihiro, Kushiro) has a different species of cherry blossom trees - Ezoyamazakuara. | ||
| Hokkaido | ||
| Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
| Sapporo | 4/25 | 4/29 |
| Wakkanai | 5/9 | 5/12 |
| Asahikawa | 4/29 | 5/2 |
| Abashiri | 5/5 | 5/8 |
| Kushiro | 5/8 | 5/11 |
| Obihiro | 4/28 | 5/1 |
| Muroran | 4/29 | 5/4 |
| Hakodate | 4/24 | 4/28 |
Cherry Blossom Forecast 2026 Schedule
- First Forecast Issued January 22nd
- Second Forecast Issued February 5th
- Third Forecast Issued February 12th
- Fourth Forecast Issued February 19th
- Fifth Forecast Issued February 26th
After March 2nd, we will update the first bloom and full bloom reports every day and provide forecasts every Monday and Thursday.
Forecast Criteria
The forecast is based on the bloom timeline of the official observation trees that are located at the 58 Japan Meteorological Agency offices across the country.
We release the forecast for 53 points in Japan except for Amami and Okinawa regions where there are no official observation trees available.
We release the forecast for 53 points in Japan except for Amami and Okinawa regions where there are no official observation trees available.
Blossom Criteria
The forecast is based on the bloom timeline of the official observation tree.
"First bloom" means observation trees have 5 to 6 flowers that have bloomed.
"Full bloom" means 80% of the observation tree flowers have bloomed.
We forecast the "Date of First Bloom" and "Date of Full Bloom" according to these meanings, which are the same with JMA's observation rules.
On average, tree fully blooms a week after first bloom.
"First bloom" means observation trees have 5 to 6 flowers that have bloomed.
"Full bloom" means 80% of the observation tree flowers have bloomed.
We forecast the "Date of First Bloom" and "Date of Full Bloom" according to these meanings, which are the same with JMA's observation rules.
On average, tree fully blooms a week after first bloom.
