This year, in areas from Kanto westward, many locations experienced cherry blossoms blooming later than usual due to a slower rise in temperatures in March. In northern Japan, the blossoms bloomed earlier than usual.
This winter, there were fewer instances of cold air influx, and they did not last long, resulting in a mild winter. Consequently, the dormancy breaking was considered weak.
February had many significantly warm days, but there was a prolonged cold spell at the beginning of March. Although it warmed up in mid-March, it wasn't as warm as expected, which is believed to have delayed the growth of flower buds. April saw considerably high temperatures, causing the cherry blossoms in Hokkaido to bloom significantly earlier than usual.
(Updated May 8, 2024)
Note: Detailed forecast is only available in Japanese.
Kanto/Koshin | ||
Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
Mito | 3/31 | 4/8 |
Utsunomiya | 3/31 | 4/11 |
Maebashi | 3/31 | 4/8 |
Kumagaya | 3/31 | 4/8 |
Tokyo | 3/29 | 4/4 |
Choshi | 4/1 | 4/7 |
Yokohama | 4/1 | 4/7 |
Nagano | 4/8 | 4/13 |
Kofu | 3/29 | 4/5 |
Tokai/Hokuriku | ||
Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
Shizuoka | 3/30 | 4/8 |
Nagoya | 3/28 | 4/7 |
Gifu | 3/27 | 4/4 |
Tsu | 3/30 | 4/2 |
Niigata | 4/6 | 4/11 |
Toyama | 4/2 | 4/10 |
Kanazawa | 4/1 | 4/8 |
Fukui | 4/1 | 4/6 |
Kinki | ||
Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
Hikone | 4/2 | 4/9 |
Kyoto | 3/29 | 4/5 |
Osaka | 3/30 | 4/6 |
Kobe | 4/1 | 4/7 |
Nara | 3/31 | 4/8 |
Wakayama | 3/30 | 4/3 |
Chugoku/Shikoku | ||
Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
Okayama | 3/30 | 4/5 |
Hiroshima | 3/25 | 4/5 |
Matsue | 3/28 | 4/3 |
Tottori | 3/29 | 4/6 |
Takamatsu | 3/29 | 4/5 |
Tokushima | 4/1 | 4/6 |
Matsuyama | 3/27 | 4/5 |
Kochi | 3/23 | 3/31 |
Shimonoseki | 3/29 | 4/5 |
Kyushu | ||
Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
Fukuoka | 3/27 | 4/2 |
Oita | 3/30 | 4/5 |
Nagasaki | 3/26 | 4/2 |
Saga | 3/29 | 4/2 |
Kumamoto | 3/26 | 4/2 |
Miyazaki | 3/25 | 4/3 |
Kagoshima | 3/29 | 4/12 |
Amami/Okinawa | ||
Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
Naze | 1/17 | 2/2 |
Naha | 1/13 | 2/5 |
Minamidaitojima | 2/16 | --- |
Miyakojima | 1/5 | 2/2 |
Ishigakijima | 1/22 | --- |
◇The colored places indicate points which already have passed first or full bloom.
◆Okinawa and Amami regions are areas where forecasts are not provided. |
Tohoku | ||
Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
Aomori | 4/15 | 4/18 |
Akita | 4/10 | 4/14 |
Morioka | 4/12 | 4/14 |
Sendai | 4/2 | 4/9 |
Yamagata | 4/7 | 4/10 |
Fukushima | 4/3 | 4/7 |
◆Hokkaido (Wakkanai, Asahikawa, Abashiri, Obihiro, Kushiro) has a different species of cherry blossom trees - Ezoyamazakuara. |
Hokkaido | ||
Cities | First bloom | Full bloom |
Sapporo | 4/18 | 4/24 |
Wakkanai | 5/1 | 5/4 |
Asahikawa | 4/24 | 4/26 |
Abashiri | 4/28 | 4/30 |
Kushiro | 5/3 | 5/5 |
Obihiro | 4/23 | 4/26 |
Muroran | 4/26 | 4/28 |
Hakodate | 4/18 | 4/23 |
Cherry Blossom Forecast 2024 Schedule
- First Forecast Issued January 25th
- Second Forecast Issued February 1st
- Third Forecast Issued February 8th
- Fourth Forecast Issued February 15th
- Fifth Forecast Issued February 22nd
- Sixth Forecast Issued February 29th
After March 4th, we will update the first bloom and full bloom reports every day and provide forecasts every Monday and Thursday.
Forecast Criteria
The forecast is based on the bloom timeline of the official observation trees that are located at the 58 Japan Meteorological Agency offices across the country.
We release the forecast for 53 points in Japan except for Amami and Okinawa regions where there are no official observation trees available.
We release the forecast for 53 points in Japan except for Amami and Okinawa regions where there are no official observation trees available.
Blossom Criteria
The forecast is based on the bloom timeline of the official observation tree.
"First bloom" means observation trees have 5 to 6 flowers that have bloomed.
"Full bloom" means 80% of the observation tree flowers have bloomed.
We forecast the "Date of First Bloom" and "Date of Full Bloom" according to these meanings, which are the same with JMA's observation rules.
On average, tree fully blooms a week after first bloom.
"First bloom" means observation trees have 5 to 6 flowers that have bloomed.
"Full bloom" means 80% of the observation tree flowers have bloomed.
We forecast the "Date of First Bloom" and "Date of Full Bloom" according to these meanings, which are the same with JMA's observation rules.
On average, tree fully blooms a week after first bloom.
Photo by Kazuya Takahashi